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Qual 32025 FIRST Chance
Red82
669638.9
99993.7
644324.6
Blue129
95753.5
703451.0
263515.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10119905015025030035082129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+53
Endgame+41
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
10Coral scored#20
35Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
53Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points6
82Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#19
38.92.8
59.5→56.7
Auto9.5
Teleop29.6
End-0.3
blue by 14.6
957
#4
53.54.1
70.8→66.8
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
Second
6443
#6
24.62.8
33.8→30.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.6
End8.3
blue by 26.5
7034
#5
51.04.1
63.3→59.2
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Third
9999
#24
3.74.7
15.2→10.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End-0.3
blue by 11.8
2635
#17
15.54.1
32.2→28.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed