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Qual 42025 FIRST Chance
Red44
74916.3
999817.5
252133.1
Blue106
75321.1
247150.6
95544.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8718005010015020025030044106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points37
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
32Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
2Foul points0
44Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#15
33.13.2
43.9→40.7
Auto11.7
Teleop19.0
End2.3
blue by 17.5
2471
#2
50.62.6
57.2→54.6
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
Second
9998
#8
17.55.3
15.2→9.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 26.9
955
#13
44.52.6
58.7→56.1
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Third
749
#21
16.33.2
30.3→27.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 4.8
753
#10
21.12.6
29.2→26.6
Auto2.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned