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Qual 52025 FIRST Chance
Red77
363653.0
99728.3
13596.4
Blue78
99976.9
237429.1
154046.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331120501001502007778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points34
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
50Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points0
77Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#12
53.03.6
64.2→60.5
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
red by 6.3
1540
#11
46.72.1
57.9→55.8
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
Second
997
#20
28.33.6
35.2→31.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.6
End-0.2
blue by 0.8
2374
#7
29.12.1
33.9→31.8
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
Third
1359
#22
6.43.6
14.5→10.8
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End2.9
blue by 0.5
9997
#18
6.93.5
12.4→8.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed