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Red55
255016.5
99993.7
142555.0
Blue34
404332.5
263515.5
669638.9
25%Model gave it75%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121590502002503005534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
29Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
55Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.04.0
64.260.2
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
red by 16.2
6696
#19
38.97.0
56.749.7
Auto9.5
Teleop29.6
End-0.3
Second
2550
#16
16.54.0
28.224.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 16.0
32.57.0
43.136.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
9999
#24
3.76.7
10.53.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End-0.3
blue by 11.8
2635
#17
15.57.0
28.121.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed