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Red62
299030.5
95544.5
273319.1
Blue100
247150.6
999817.5
703451.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401388010012016018062100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+16
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
47Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
62Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#13
44.53.6
56.152.6
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
blue by 6.6
51.01.6
59.257.6
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Second
2990
#14
30.53.6
33.630.1
Auto3.5
Teleop22.4
End4.5
blue by 20.2
50.61.6
54.653.0
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
Third
2733
#23
19.13.6
25.722.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 1.6
17.52.6
9.97.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned