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Red23
635311.0
713511.2
1042710.4
Blue47
833916.1
850334.8
97196.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445801001502002502347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +10
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop16
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
23Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7135
#22
11.22.3
15.112.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
blue by 23.6
34.80.4
21.521.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Second
6353
#45
11.02.3
12.09.7
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 5.1
8339
#38
16.10.4
19.719.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
Third
10.42.3
14.412.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
red by 3.8
9719
#41
6.70.4
9.18.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned