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Red43
918020.7
636427.3
964117.6
Blue36
927726.2
639017.8
904420.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7954020401001201401604336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +9
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points9
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
28Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
43Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#10
27.32.9
24.321.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
red by 1.1
9277
#16
26.21.7
13.311.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
Second
9180
#37
20.72.9
22.319.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
red by 0.2
9044
#15
20.51.7
21.319.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
9641
#23
17.62.9
22.619.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 0.2
6390
#33
17.81.7
16.915.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed