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Red144
546113.5
35954.2
603639.0
Blue142
425337.5
84630.1
427058.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711950100150200144142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
22Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#23
54Coral points82
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
96Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#7
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
12Foul points4
144Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
54.20.7
46.647.3
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
blue by 4.3
58.42.0
38.640.7
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
Second
39.00.7
42.242.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 1.6
4253
#13
37.52.0
35.137.2
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Third
5461
#24
13.50.7
22.623.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 16.5
846
#36
30.12.0
32.134.2
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned