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Qual 22025 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red50
728723.8
442132.7
1004410.0
Blue110
603639.0
850334.8
918020.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8281406010012050110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+56
Endgame+52
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +30
6Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +26
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
38Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points8
50Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#12
32.72.1
30.1→28.0
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
blue by 6.3
6036
#8
39.02.5
38.0→40.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Second
7287
#17
23.82.1
17.9→15.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
blue by 11.0
8503
#4
34.82.5
19.0→21.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
10044
#31
10.05.7
10.0→15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 10.7
9180
#37
20.72.5
19.7→22.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed