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Red78
755130.5
929215.1
432722.8
Blue120
399041.0
312855.1
833916.1
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659405015020078120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#16
34Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
46Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
12Foul points8
78Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7551
#11
30.50.1
19.219.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
blue by 24.6
55.13.0
30.633.6
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
4327
#48
22.80.1
23.823.9
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
blue by 18.2
41.03.0
32.335.3
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Third
9292
#20
15.10.1
16.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 1.0
8339
#38
16.13.0
16.819.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned