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Qual 212025 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red61
955012.8
767310.4
243845.7
Blue98
944914.1
728723.8
399041.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7371506080906198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
61Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#21
45.72.1
29.3→27.2
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
red by 4.7
3990
#3
41.01.9
36.7→38.6
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Second
9550
#34
12.82.1
12.9→10.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 11.0
7287
#17
23.81.9
13.8→15.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Third
7673
#35
10.42.1
20.8→18.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 3.7
9449
#27
14.11.9
11.8→13.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned