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Red67
1042710.4
768819.9
462731.5
Blue118
964117.6
243845.7
442132.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5391010015067118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+47
Endgame+37
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
38Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points14
67Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#19
31.51.7
21.323.0
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
blue by 14.1
2438
#21
45.73.0
27.230.1
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
7688
#14
19.91.7
16.117.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End5.4
blue by 12.8
4421
#12
32.73.0
31.134.1
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
Third
10.41.7
11.513.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 7.2
9641
#23
17.63.0
16.319.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed