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Red38
779616.2
73328.6
84630.1
Blue93
904420.5
635311.0
399041.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737640601001203893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
25Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points30
38Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#36
30.12.9
34.231.3
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
blue by 10.9
41.00.5
38.638.1
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Second
7796
#30
16.22.9
15.812.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
blue by 4.4
9044
#15
20.50.5
16.215.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
7332
#46
8.62.9
14.211.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 2.4
6353
#45
11.00.5
12.712.2
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed