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Red31
1038411.9
944914.1
833916.1
Blue78
551647.0
1004410.0
639017.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53690204060801001201403178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+47
Endgame+41
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
14Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points6
31Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8339
#38
16.12.4
16.314.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 31.0
47.01.2
30.932.0
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
9449
#27
14.12.4
13.711.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 3.8
6390
#33
17.81.2
12.213.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
Third
11.92.4
16.313.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.1
red by 2.0
10.01.2
15.516.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed