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Red53
71678.9
618811.2
850334.8
Blue38
929215.1
946515.9
546113.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56652040801001205338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
7Coral scored#2
24Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
32Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
14Foul points6
53Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.4
21.820.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
red by 18.9
9465
#18
15.93.0
8.55.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Second
6188
#32
11.21.4
16.615.2
Auto1.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 3.8
9292
#20
15.13.0
24.021.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
7167
#39
8.91.4
10.89.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 4.7
5461
#24
13.53.0
23.320.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned