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Red105
955012.8
212245.6
728723.8
Blue35
964117.6
1042710.4
84630.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7373405060809010011010535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
65Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
105Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.64.2
37.041.2
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
red by 15.5
846
#36
30.13.5
31.327.7
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
Second
7287
#17
23.84.2
16.620.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
red by 6.2
9641
#23
17.63.5
19.315.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
9550
#34
12.84.2
10.714.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 2.4
10.43.5
13.29.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed