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Red108
1052714.5
462731.5
833812.6
Blue81
69029.6
755130.5
162214.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53522040608010010881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points34
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
24Processor points6
12Net points8
36Algae points14
84Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points8
108Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#19
31.54.6
23.027.5
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 1.0
7551
#11
30.50.3
24.024.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
Second
14.54.6
13.918.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 0.3
1622
#44
14.80.3
16.216.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Third
8338
#28
12.64.6
9.013.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
red by 2.9
6902
#47
9.60.3
7.17.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned