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Red64
833916.1
603639.0
432722.8
Blue111
904420.5
551647.0
636427.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917905010015064111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
43Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points18
64Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.02.3
38.936.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 8.0
47.02.3
32.034.4
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
4327
#48
22.82.3
26.323.9
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
blue by 4.5
6364
#10
27.32.3
24.426.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Third
8339
#38
16.12.3
14.011.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 4.4
9044
#15
20.52.3
15.718.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed