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Red29
635311.0
73328.6
546113.5
Blue40
618811.2
918020.7
767310.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475802040801002940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points8
29Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5461
#24
13.51.6
20.318.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 7.2
9180
#37
20.72.0
18.216.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Second
6353
#45
11.01.6
12.210.5
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 0.2
6188
#32
11.22.0
15.213.1
Auto1.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Third
7332
#46
8.61.6
11.39.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 1.8
7673
#35
10.42.0
17.015.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed