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Red132
35954.2
312855.1
71678.9
Blue120
639017.8
243845.7
850334.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246850100150200132120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +10
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
83Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points4
132Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.12.9
46.249.1
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
red by 9.4
2438
#21
45.75.8
30.135.9
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
359
#1
54.22.9
50.353.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 19.4
34.85.8
20.426.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
7167
#39
8.92.9
9.412.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 9.0
6390
#33
17.85.8
13.319.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned