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Red23
929215.1
944914.1
97196.7
Blue126
946515.9
964914.9
427058.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4861020408010012023126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+69
Endgame+79
Fouls+103
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +62
2Coral scored#14
6Coral points52
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
10Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +103
0Foul points24
23Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9292
#20
15.12.8
21.018.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 43.4
58.44.4
36.741.1
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
Second
9449
#27
14.12.8
11.38.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 1.8
9465
#18
15.94.4
5.510.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Third
9719
#41
6.72.8
9.66.9
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 8.2
9649
#29
14.94.4
10.915.3
Auto1.6
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned