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Red26
1004410.0
1038411.9
486218.9
Blue68
713511.2
442132.7
425337.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4610501502668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
10Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
26Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4862
#42
18.92.4
16.714.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4
blue by 18.6
4253
#13
37.52.2
38.135.8
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
11.92.4
13.911.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.1
blue by 20.7
4421
#12
32.72.2
34.131.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
Third
10.02.4
16.714.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 1.2
7135
#22
11.22.2
16.013.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned