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Red76
399041.0
955012.8
755130.5
Blue180
636427.3
603639.0
212245.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87122406010014016018020076180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+38
Endgame+24
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points31
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#10
26Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
40Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points80
76Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.2
38.638.4
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
blue by 4.6
45.61.2
41.240.1
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
Second
7551
#11
30.50.2
24.324.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
blue by 8.5
39.01.2
36.535.4
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Third
9550
#34
12.80.2
14.914.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 14.5
6364
#10
27.31.2
26.725.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed