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Red59
212245.6
833812.6
767310.4
Blue89
1038411.9
904420.5
35954.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859240601001201405989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+38
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
25Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
8Foul points0
59Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.62.6
37.234.6
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
blue by 8.6
359
#1
54.21.0
41.642.7
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
Second
8338
#28
12.62.6
17.915.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
blue by 7.9
9044
#15
20.51.0
20.221.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
7673
#35
10.42.6
19.516.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 1.5
11.92.0
20.918.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned