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Red15
97196.7
69029.6
639017.8
Blue64
84630.1
955012.8
768819.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596701002003004005001564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +46
2Coral scored#12
8Coral points42
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
8Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
15Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#33
17.84.8
21.616.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
blue by 12.2
846
#36
30.10.0
28.028.0
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
Second
6902
#47
9.64.8
17.112.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 10.3
7688
#14
19.90.0
16.316.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End5.4
Third
9719
#41
6.74.8
13.89.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 6.2
9550
#34
12.80.0
13.613.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed