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Red40
462731.5
546113.5
964914.9
Blue45
636427.3
713511.2
927726.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64660501001502004045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
27Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
40Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#19
31.52.1
18.916.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 4.2
6364
#10
27.31.7
26.024.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Second
9649
#29
14.92.1
14.512.4
Auto1.6
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 11.3
9277
#16
26.21.7
15.013.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
Third
5461
#24
13.52.1
22.920.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 2.4
7135
#22
11.21.7
16.815.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed