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Red72
425337.5
946515.9
73328.6
Blue86
728723.8
779616.2
462731.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65732040801001207286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
40Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points2
72Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13
37.50.9
36.137.0
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 6.0
4627
#19
31.51.8
28.630.4
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
Second
9465
#18
15.90.9
13.314.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End5.4
blue by 7.9
7287
#17
23.81.8
20.522.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Third
7332
#46
8.60.9
8.39.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 7.5
7796
#30
16.21.8
12.814.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed