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Qual 552025 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red105
833812.6
918020.7
243845.7
Blue125
427058.4
719010.8
432722.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7688204060100120140105125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
78Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#4
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points6
105Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#21
45.72.3
39.2→41.6
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
blue by 12.8
4270
#6
58.43.3
45.6→48.9
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
Second
9180
#37
20.72.3
13.7→16.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
blue by 2.1
4327
#48
22.83.3
21.5→24.8
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
Third
8338
#28
12.62.3
11.6→13.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
red by 1.8
7190
#40
10.83.3
7.9→11.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned