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Red121
212245.6
927726.2
462731.5
Blue25
432722.8
618811.2
97196.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1144005010015012125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+88Teleop
+98Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +71
14Coral scored#3
49Coral points10
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
18Processor points6
20Net points0
38Algae points6
87Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
7L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points2
121Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.62.1
41.443.5
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
red by 22.8
4327
#48
22.82.6
24.822.2
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
Second
4627
#19
31.52.1
30.432.5
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 20.3
6188
#32
11.22.6
12.29.6
Auto1.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Third
9277
#16
26.22.1
22.925.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
red by 19.6
9719
#41
6.72.6
5.83.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed