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Red44
1038411.9
964117.6
162214.8
Blue42
486218.9
635311.0
929215.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525510203040607080904442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
27Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
44Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9641
#23
17.60.6
16.616.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 1.3
4862
#42
18.90.8
16.215.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Second
1622
#44
14.80.6
16.115.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End2.7
blue by 0.3
9292
#20
15.10.8
17.016.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
11.90.6
11.210.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.1
red by 1.0
6353
#45
11.00.8
11.710.9
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed