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Red136
639017.8
427058.4
442132.7
Blue100
728723.8
755130.5
719010.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216920406080100140160180136100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
106Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
136Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.42.2
48.951.1
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 28.0
7551
#11
30.52.2
26.428.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
Second
4421
#12
32.72.2
30.432.6
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
red by 8.9
7287
#17
23.82.2
22.324.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Third
6390
#33
17.82.2
18.721.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
red by 7.0
7190
#40
10.82.2
11.213.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned