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Red102
551647.0
833916.1
918020.7
Blue59
850334.8
779616.2
955012.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72652040608010012010259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+53Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points15
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +38
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
66Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
102Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.04.1
38.342.4
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 12.2
34.80.0
31.731.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Second
9180
#37
20.74.1
16.120.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
red by 4.6
7796
#30
16.20.0
14.614.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
8339
#38
16.14.1
8.312.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
red by 3.2
9550
#34
12.80.0
12.712.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned