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Red78
73328.6
243845.7
944914.1
Blue94
636427.3
425337.5
833812.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6990204060801001201407894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
58Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
78Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#21
45.71.0
41.642.6
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
red by 8.2
4253
#13
37.51.0
37.038.0
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
9449
#27
14.11.0
8.39.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 13.2
6364
#10
27.31.0
25.626.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Third
7332
#46
8.61.0
9.210.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 3.9
8338
#28
12.61.0
13.914.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned