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Red60
1004410.0
1042710.4
97196.7
Blue75
767310.4
546113.5
312855.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149504060801201406075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
37Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
8Foul points0
60Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.42.0
8.410.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 44.6
55.11.1
51.150.0
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
10.02.0
8.710.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 3.6
5461
#24
13.51.1
13.112.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Third
9719
#41
6.72.0
3.25.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 3.7
7673
#35
10.41.1
10.69.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned