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Red80
768819.9
719010.8
603639.0
Blue74
432722.8
964117.6
71678.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855202040601001208074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
80Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.1
36.736.7
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 16.2
4327
#48
22.80.8
22.223.0
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
Second
7688
#14
19.90.1
17.417.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End5.4
red by 2.3
9641
#23
17.60.8
16.016.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
7190
#40
10.80.1
13.413.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
red by 1.9
7167
#39
8.90.8
7.68.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned