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Red107
713511.2
779616.2
551647.0
Blue39
639017.8
728723.8
162214.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767020406010012014010739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+56Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
60Total teleop23
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
12Foul points0
107Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.02.5
42.444.9
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 23.2
7287
#17
23.82.4
24.422.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
7796
#30
16.22.5
14.617.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
blue by 1.7
6390
#33
17.82.4
21.018.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
Third
7135
#22
11.22.5
8.911.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
blue by 3.6
1622
#44
14.82.4
15.513.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed