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Red108
399041.0
636427.3
442132.7
Blue108
635311.0
69029.6
427058.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119794060100140160108108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +48
8Coral scored#21
30Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
48Total teleop96
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
30Foul points0
108Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.0
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
blue by 17.5
58.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
Second
4421
#12
32.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
red by 21.7
6353
#45
11.0
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
6364
#10
27.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
red by 17.7
6902
#47
9.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed