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Red67
833916.1
929215.1
35954.2
Blue30
73328.6
955012.8
833812.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983702060801201401606730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
38Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
67Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
54.21.4
52.951.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 41.3
9550
#34
12.81.3
12.711.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Second
8339
#38
16.11.4
12.411.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
red by 3.5
8338
#28
12.61.3
14.913.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Third
9292
#20
15.11.4
16.214.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
red by 6.4
7332
#46
8.61.3
10.38.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed