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Red118
964914.9
755130.5
850334.8
Blue115
486218.9
904420.5
243845.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83894060100120140118115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+23
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
77Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
118Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.82.5
31.734.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
blue by 10.9
2438
#21
45.72.4
42.645.0
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
7551
#11
30.52.5
28.631.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
red by 10.0
9044
#15
20.52.4
16.819.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
9649
#29
14.92.5
12.715.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 4.0
4862
#42
18.92.4
15.417.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed