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Red78
927726.2
918020.7
944914.1
Blue116
212245.6
425337.5
1052714.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911720408010014016078116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +23
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points36
13Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
61Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points14
78Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9277
#16
26.20.9
25.025.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
blue by 19.4
45.60.4
43.543.1
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
Second
9180
#37
20.70.9
20.121.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
blue by 16.8
4253
#13
37.50.4
38.037.6
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Third
9449
#27
14.10.9
9.310.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 0.5
14.50.4
15.615.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned