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Red79
97196.7
551647.0
546113.5
Blue58
442132.7
833812.6
779616.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727502040601001201401607958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
45Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points6
79Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.5
44.946.4
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 14.3
4421
#12
32.71.1
32.631.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
Second
5461
#24
13.51.5
12.013.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 2.6
7796
#30
16.21.0
17.216.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
9719
#41
6.71.5
5.26.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 5.9
8338
#28
12.61.0
13.612.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed