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Red139
212245.6
639017.8
243845.7
Blue112
425337.5
432722.8
636427.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124926080100140160180139112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
97Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points2
139Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#21
45.70.6
45.646.1
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
red by 8.2
4253
#13
37.50.4
37.137.5
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
45.60.6
45.546.1
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
red by 18.3
6364
#10
27.30.4
26.927.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Third
6390
#33
17.80.6
17.818.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
blue by 5.0
4327
#48
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8