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Red94
908520.2
756736.2
945931.9
Blue106
919936.0
580019.5
756340.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110240608012014016094106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points22
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
52Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +12
8Foul points6
94Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.1
36.236.2
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
blue by 4.3
40.40.1
40.340.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
Second
9459
#10
31.90.1
31.931.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
blue by 4.1
36.00.1
35.936.0
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
Third
9085
#43
20.20.1
20.320.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
red by 0.7
5800
#20
19.50.1
19.419.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0