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Red86
908520.2
756736.2
945931.9
Blue108
919936.0
580019.5
756340.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210240608012014016086108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
50Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
86Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.1
36.336.2
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
blue by 4.3
40.40.2
40.040.3
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
Second
9459
#10
31.90.1
32.031.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
blue by 4.1
36.00.2
35.635.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
Third
9085
#43
20.20.1
20.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8
red by 0.7
5800
#20
19.50.2
19.219.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0