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Red115
919936.0
580019.5
756340.4
Blue90
115632.5
916918.1
186031.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978640608012014011590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
76Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points10
115Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.7
39.340.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
red by 7.9
1156
#19
32.50.1
32.632.5
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Second
36.00.7
34.935.6
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
red by 4.3
31.60.1
31.731.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Third
5800
#20
19.50.7
18.519.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 1.5
9169
#48
18.10.1
18.118.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5