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Red103
115632.5
916918.1
186031.6
Blue71
945834.6
948424.6
948524.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839220406010012014016010371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
66Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points6
103Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#19
32.50.7
31.932.6
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 2.0
34.60.7
35.334.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
Second
31.60.7
31.031.7
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 6.7
9485
#27
24.90.7
25.624.9
Auto2.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Third
9169
#48
18.10.7
17.418.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
blue by 6.6
24.60.7
25.324.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.7