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Red91
919936.0
580019.5
756340.4
Blue95
908520.2
756736.2
945931.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999360801201401609195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
59Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
91Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.1
39.439.3
Auto7.2
Teleop26.6
End6.6
red by 4.3
36.20.2
36.536.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Second
36.00.1
35.034.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.3
End3.7
red by 4.1
9459
#10
31.90.2
32.232.0
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Third
5800
#20
19.50.1
18.518.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 0.7
9085
#43
20.20.2
20.620.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.8