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Red101
115632.5
916918.1
186031.6
Blue60
905020.9
921919.1
1001925.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846620406010012014010160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+43Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
77Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
101Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#19
32.50.7
31.231.9
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End2.7
red by 7.4
25.20.2
25.325.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End1.4
Second
31.60.7
30.331.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 10.7
9050
#13
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
9169
#48
18.10.7
16.717.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
blue by 1.1
9219
#18
19.10.2
19.319.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End1.2