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Red106
917819.2
888229.7
945834.6
Blue39
920014.7
906612.5
946123.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7174405060809010010639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+71Teleop
+69Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +63
16Coral scored#5
56Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
84Total teleop21
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points2
106Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.63.9
24.828.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End2.7
red by 11.0
9461
#25
23.64.0
24.320.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End4.1
Second
29.73.9
19.923.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End4.0
red by 15.0
9200
#40
14.74.0
22.318.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
9178
#17
19.23.9
18.021.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 6.7
9066
#47
12.54.0
18.214.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed