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Red61
827610.9
945931.9
745914.6
Blue37
916918.1
919513.5
946019.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595401001506137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
36Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points0
61Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9459
#10
31.90.6
21.821.1
Auto6.6
Teleop23.2
End2.0
red by 12.8
9460
#34
19.11.3
20.018.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Second
7459
#28
14.60.6
17.016.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 3.5
9169
#48
18.11.3
16.415.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.5
Third
8276
#54
10.90.6
12.912.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 2.5
9195
#35
13.51.3
12.211.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed